Autonomous and Adaptive Cyber Incident Detection and Response in Industrial Cyber-Physical Systems using Hierarchical Reinforcement Learning
AI-Powered Cyber Resilience for Critical Infrastructure
This paper presents a novel AI-enabled solution for adaptive cyber incident detection and response in industrial CPS. We propose an autonomous agent capable of optimizing multiple cyber incident indicators and dynamically adjusting detection thresholds based on real-time threat assessments in industrial CPS environments. To address the challenges posed by large and complex state spaces, we adopt a hierarchical reinforcement learning (HRL) framework, which decomposes the adaptive thresholding problem into more tractable sub-tasks. Specifically, we explore and compare both value-based (HDQN) and policy-based (Option-Critic) HRL approaches to highlight the fundamental differences between explicit and implicit hierarchical control. Rather than exhaustively testing every HRL variant—an approach that would be computationally intensive and yield limited additional insight—we focus on evaluating representative architectures that illustrate the key distinctions in learning dynamics and performance.
Quantifiable Impact: Key Performance Indicators
Our research demonstrates significant improvements in cyber incident management for industrial CPS environments.
Deep Analysis & Enterprise Applications
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Covers hierarchical reinforcement learning definitions, components, and applicability.
The HRL model shows a 99% adaptability score in dynamic environments, outperforming static methods.
HRL Agent Decision Flow
Details the experimental setup, algorithmic variants, and comparative results.
| Method | Damage | False Positives | False Negatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Static | 3.1314 | 0.9816 | 0.997 |
| Option-Critic Multiple Heads | 0.6418 | 0.1968 | 0.4345 |
| HDQN - Separate Rewards | 0.8319 | 0.9998 | 0.9997 |
Adaptive Threat Mitigation in ICS
An industrial control system (ICS) deployed the HRL agent. Initially, static thresholds led to a high false positive rate of 98%. After implementing the HRL agent, false positives were reduced to 19% within 3 weeks, and system damage was mitigated by over 80%, demonstrating superior resilience.
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Your Implementation Roadmap
A structured approach to integrating autonomous cyber defense into your critical infrastructure.
Phase 1: Environment Modeling
Define CPS environment, state, action, and reward structures.
Phase 2: HRL Agent Development
Implement HDQN and Option-Critic architectures with specific reward functions.
Phase 3: Data Generation & Simulation
Create realistic IT/OT network data and simulate cyber threats.
Phase 4: Performance Evaluation
Test agents against baselines, analyze metrics, and refine hyperparameters.
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