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Enterprise AI Analysis: Artificial intelligence in environmental and Earth system sciences: explainability and trustworthiness

Enterprise AI Analysis

Artificial intelligence in environmental and Earth system sciences: explainability and trustworthiness

Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) methods are gaining traction in environmental and Earth system science to enhance decision-making. This review highlights the rapid expansion of XAI applications, especially SHAP/Shapley values, across diverse domains like ecology, geology, and remote sensing. Despite the growing use of XAI to improve model understanding and prediction reliability, a critical gap exists in systematically addressing and enhancing trust in AI applications, with only 1.2% of studies explicitly focusing on trustworthiness as a core objective. The review emphasizes the need for a "human-centered" XAI framework involving multiple stakeholders to build truly trustworthy AI systems for complex environmental problems.

Executive Impact

Transforming Environmental Science with Trustworthy AI

Our analysis reveals key trends and critical opportunities for leveraging XAI to drive impactful, transparent, and reliable AI solutions in environmental and Earth system sciences.

0% Annual Growth Rate of XAI
0% Studies Addressing Trust
0 Articles Most Popular XAI Method (SHAP/Shapley)
0+ Key Application Domains

Deep Analysis & Enterprise Applications

Select a topic to dive deeper, then explore the specific findings from the research, rebuilt as interactive, enterprise-focused modules.

Rapid Expansion of XAI in Environmental Sciences

The annual growth rate for XAI publications in environmental and Earth system science is 90%, indicating a rapid and significant expansion of its application over the past decade. This widespread adoption underscores the increasing recognition of XAI's value in these critical domains.

90% Annual Growth Rate of XAI Publications

Enterprise Process Flow

Documents identified via keyword search (n=595)
Filtering XAI methods independently (n=17 searches)
Filtering for trust* (n=39)
Selection of time span: 2015-2023 (n=575)
Removal of synonyms/initial keywords
Identification of major publication trends (n=575)
Investigation of XAI method popularity
Assessing trust role in environmental sciences

Popular XAI Methods Comparison

A comparison of the most frequently used XAI methods reveals SHAP and Shapley values as dominant, offering both local and global interpretations, versatility, and mathematical robustness based on game theory.
Method Key Advantages Common Use Case
SHAP/Shapley Values
  • Local & global interpretations
  • Versatility
  • Mathematical robustness (game theory)
Feature importance, dependence, interaction explanation
LIME
  • Local model behavior approximation
  • Intuitive for specific instances
Explaining individual predictions
Partial Dependence Plots (PDP)
  • Visualizes marginal effect of features
  • Intuitive
Global interpretation of feature-output relationship (assumes independence)

The Trust Gap in XAI Research

Despite frequent claims that XAI enhances trust, only a minimal percentage (1.2%) of studies in environmental and Earth system sciences explicitly address trustworthiness as a core research objective, highlighting a critical knowledge gap.

1.2% Studies with Trust as Core Objective

User-Centered XAI for Trustworthy Decision-Making

“Co-developing the AI life cycle together with multiple viewpoints may take time but can be the most effective way to facilitate trustworthy AI systems for tackling complex environmental problems.”

Source: Bostrom et al. 2024

Context: The importance of interdisciplinary collaboration and user-centered design in building trust in AI.

Estimate Your Impact

Advanced ROI Calculator for AI Implementation

Understand the potential efficiency gains and cost savings for your organization by implementing AI with explainability and trustworthiness at its core.

Estimated Annual Savings $0
Hours Reclaimed Annually 0

Your Path to Trustworthy AI

Proposed Implementation Roadmap

A structured approach to integrate explainable and trustworthy AI into your environmental and Earth system science operations.

Phase 1: Needs Assessment & Data Audit

Identify high-stakes decision points, stakeholder needs for explainability, and conduct a thorough audit of existing environmental datasets for AI readiness.

Phase 2: XAI Model Prototyping & Integration

Develop initial AI models incorporating XAI techniques (e.g., SHAP, LIME) tailored for spatial/temporal data, integrating feedback loops for iterative refinement.

Phase 3: Trustworthiness Validation & User Feedback

Empirically assess the impact of XAI explanations on user trust and understanding, using social science methods (surveys, interviews) with diverse stakeholder groups.

Phase 4: Human-Centered AI Framework Development

Design and implement a comprehensive framework that integrates XAI, ethical principles, and user-centered design across the entire AI lifecycle.

Phase 5: Continuous Monitoring & Education

Establish mechanisms for ongoing performance and trustworthiness monitoring, coupled with educational programs for AI developers and end-users.

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