Enterprise AI Analysis
Gaming the Arena: AI Model Evaluation and the Viral Capture of Attention
Innovation in artificial intelligence (AI) has always been dependent on technological infrastructures, from code repositories to computing hardware. Yet industry – rather than universities – has become increasingly influential in shaping Al innovation. As generative forms of Al powered by large language models (LLMs) have driven the breakout of Al into the wider world, the Al community has sought to develop new methods for independently evaluating the performance of Al models. How best, in other words, to compare the performance of Al models against other Al models – and how best to account for new models launched on nearly a daily basis? Building on recent work in media studies, STS, and computer science on benchmarking and the practices of Al evaluation, I examine the rise of so-called ‘arenas' in which Al models are evaluated with reference to gladiatorial-style 'battles'. Through a technography of a leading user-driven Al model evaluation platform, LMArena, I consider five themes central to the emerging ‘arena-ization' of Al innovation. Accordingly, I argue that the arena-ization is being powered by a 'viral' desire to capture attention both in, and outside of, the Al community, critical to the scaling and commercialization of Al products. In the discussion, I reflect on the implications of ‘arena gaming', a phenomenon through which model developers hope to capture attention.
Sam Hind, University of Manchester
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The Rise of AI Model Arenas
Building on recent arguments around the 'competitive epistemologies' of AI research and evaluation practices, AI innovation is increasingly understood as a battleground. Generative AI models (LLMs) are publicly scrutinized and compared in 'arenas'—game-like environments where models face off head-to-head, such as LMArena. This gladiatorial framing drives a viral AI culture, dependent on cultivating and capturing attention, essential for scaling and commercializing AI products.
LMArena's Rise: Key Drivers
Limitations of Traditional Benchmarks
Traditional benchmarks, while foundational for AI development, are increasingly recognized for their limitations. They often fail to measure real-world utility, instead relying on standardized proxies. As Campolo (2025) highlights, benchmarking can powerfully reduce complex model capabilities into a single numerical metric on a prediction task, potentially obscuring a model's true value or limitations in practical applications.
AI Innovation & Industry Dominance
AI innovation, historically tied to technological infrastructures like code repositories and hardware, has seen a dramatic shift towards industry influence. As AI moves into commercial environments, key infrastructures have empowered an AI community fueled by breakthroughs, policy announcements, and colossal investments. Industry's share of top AI models surged from 11% in 2010 to 96% in 2021, with commercial actors now dominating innovation.
| Key Milestones | Date | Source |
|---|---|---|
| LMSys (Large Model Systems) project launched | 2023 | lmsys.org/about |
| Vicuna launch announcement | March 30, 2023 | Resource 8 |
| Chatbot Arena launch announcement | May 3, 2023 | lmsys.org/blog/2023-05-03-arena/ |
| Chatbot Arena hits 4,700 votes | May 3, 2023 | lmsys.org/blog/2023-05-03-arena/ |
| LLM-as-a-Judge paper released | June 9, 2023 | arxiv.org/abs/2306.05685v1 |
| Chatbot Arena reaches 240,000 votes from 90,000 users | January, 2024 | Resource 12 |
| Chatbot Arena hits 800,000 votes | March 1, 2024 | lmsys.org/blog/2024-03-01-policy/ |
| ChatBot Arena technical paper | March 7, 2024 | Resource 12 |
| Chatbot Arena hits 500,000 votes | March 29, 2024 | huggingface.co/... |
| LMSys Kaggle Competition launched on 'Predicting Human Preference' ($25,000 first prize) | May 2, 2024 | lmsys.org/blog/2024-05-02-kaggle-competition/ |
| LMSys non-profit corporation status established | September, 2024 | lmsys.org/about/ |
| Dedicated Chatbot Arena site | September 20, 2024 | Resource 9 |
| LMArena beta launch | April 17, 2025 | Resource 1 |
| LMArena company announcement | April 17, 2025 | news.lmarena.ai/new-lmarena/ |
| LMArena investment announcement | May 27, 2025 | news.lmarena.ai/new-lmarena/ |
| First commercial product: AI evaluations | September 16, 2025 | Resource 3 |
| Image Arena reaches 17,238,698 votes | October 1, 2025 | lmarena.ai/leaderboard/image-edit |
| Text Arena reaches 4,222,042 votes | October 8, 2025 | Resource 5 |
Infrastructures of AI Innovation
AI innovation relies heavily on a diverse range of technological infrastructures, primarily open-source and cloud-based. Key components include: code repositories (GitHub, Hugging Face), promoting 'democratic AI'; open-source ML libraries (Meta's PyTorch, Google's TensorFlow), capturing developer energy; computational hardware (Google's TPUs), crucial for model training; AI platforms (Google's Vertex AI), offering 'one-stop shops' for generative AI deployment; and cloud storage (GCP, Azure, AWS), where Big Tech firms exercise intermediary control over the industry.
Case Study: The FrontierMath Controversy
The pursuit of high leaderboard rankings has exposed ethical vulnerabilities. OpenAI faced scrutiny for clandestinely funding FrontierMath, a prominent maths benchmark developed by Epoch AI. Initially undisclosed, OpenAI's support was revealed only after the fifth revision of the research paper. OpenAI's o3 model achieved a 25.3% success rate, far surpassing rivals (under 2%) on this benchmark. It was later revealed OpenAI commissioned and had access to most of the problems and solutions, raising serious concerns about compromised independence and unfair advantage in evaluation.
Compromised Independence & Bias
The LMArena model evaluation system is premised on independence: community-driven comparisons, LMArena-calculated rankings, and distinct roles for model developers and evaluators. This game-like structure implies 'managers' (developers), an 'administrator' (LMArena), 'players' (models), and 'referees' (evaluators). However, LMArena's shift to a commercial setting threatens this neutrality. Practices like private testing, preferential privileging for large firms, and hidden funding arrangements undermine the pursuit of scientific knowledge and fairness.
Viral Capture of Attention & Arena Gaming
The arena-ization of AI innovation fosters 'arena gaming': optimizing models solely to dominate leaderboards rather than for real-world utility. This is driven by a viral desire to capture attention within and beyond the AI community, crucial for scaling and commercialization. Much like social media platforms, AI model evaluation is becoming a mechanism for chasing and scaffolding attention. This intense focus on visibility and competitive ranking ultimately shapes AI development, potentially leading to models that excel in artificial 'battles' but may not always translate to practical, ethical, or socially valuable applications.
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