Paul Christiano OpenAI paul@openai.com
Buck Shlegeris ∗ bshlegeris@gmail.com
Dario Amodei OpenAI damodei@openai.com
Abstract
Many real world learning tasks involve complex or hard-to-specify objectives, and using an easier-to-specify proxy can lead to poor performance or misaligned behavior. One solution is to have humans provide a training signal by demonstrating or judging performance, but this approach fails if the task is too complicated for a human to directly evaluate. We propose Iterated Amplification, an alternative train- ing strategy which progressively builds up a training signal for difficult problems by combining solutions to easier subproblems. Iterated Amplification is closely related to Expert Iteration (Anthony et al., 2017; Silver et al., 2017b), except that it uses no external reward function. We present results in algorithmic environments, showing that Iterated Amplification can efficiently learn complex behaviors.
1 Introduction
If we want to train an ML system to perform a task, we need to be able to evaluate how well it is doing. Whether our training signal takes the form of labels, rewards, or something else entirely, we need some way to generate that signal.
If our goal can be evaluated automatically, such as winning a game of Go, or if we have an algorithm that can generate examples of correct behavior, then generating a training signal is trivial. In these cases we might say that there is an “algorithmic” training signal.
Unfortunately, most useful tasks don’t have an algorithmic training signal. So in current applications of machine learning, humans often provide the training signal. This can be done by having a human demonstrate the task, for example labeling an image or teleoperating a robot, or by learning a reward function from human judgments. For these classes of tasks, we could say there is a “human” training signal.
However, there are harder tasks for which we can’t compute demonstrations or rewards even with human assistance, and for which we currently have no clear method to get a meaningful training signal. Consider making economic policy decisions, advancing the scientific frontier, or managing the security of a large network of computers. Some of these tasks are “beyond human scale” – a single human can’t perform them and can’t make sense of their massive observation space well enough to judge the behavior of an agent. It may be possible for a human to judge performance in the very long run (for example, by looking at economic growth over several years), but such long-term feedback is very slow to learn from. We currently have no way to learn how to perform such tasks much better than a human.
The overall situation is depicted in Table 1, which shows six different combinations of training signal source and problem formulation (supervised learning or RL). The bulk of ML practice operates in the top center box (supervised learning from human labels), the bottom left box (RL with a scripted reward), and sometimes the top left box (supervised learning of algorithms). The bottom center box
Table 1: Example problems which require different kinds of training signal.
(RL from a human training signal) is beginning to be explored, and includes inverse reinforcement learning (Ng and Russell,2000;Abbeel and Ng,2004;Finn et al.,2016) and RL from human feedback (Knox and Stone,2009;Pilarski et al.,2011;MacGlashan et al.,2017;Christiano et al.,2017). At present there seems to be no general method to handle problems in the bottom right or top right.
It seems desirable to expand the range of tasks for which we can get a training signal, for two reasons. First, it would enable ML systems to perform new tasks. SL and RL are very powerful methods when we can get a training signal, so making them applicable to tasks that humans can’t directly judge or perform could have a big impact. Second, better specification of complex goals and targets may be vital to building robustly beneficial AI systems. In practice, when an accurate training signal would be “beyond human scale,” we often instead find a short-term proxy that is correlated with what we want. But aggressively optimizing that proxy can lead to pathological behavior (Lehman et al., 2018; Amodei and Clark, 2016; Amodei et al., 2016), an example of Goodhart’s Law.2 For example, we might find that user-reported satisfaction (which we can easily measure) is a good proxy for long-term benefit to society (which is very complicated), but if we maximize it with RL our agent may maintain fraudulent appearances or effectively manipulate users into providing high ratings. At large scales this kind of pathology could lead to systemic crashes, and a mismatch between proxies and our real preferences is a major source of concerns about the safety of future powerful AI systems (Bostrom, 2014).
In this paper we propose a general framework for building up a training signal on complex tasks by decomposing them (with AI assistance) into simpler tasks for which we have a human or algorithmic training signal. In our experiments we apply the framework with a number of simplifications (see Section 4.3) to relatively simple tasks, as a first step towards addressing the problems described above.
1.1 Our method: Iterated Amplification
We propose a new method, Iterated Amplification, for a human expert H to train an ML agent X. Rather than having H demonstrate or evaluate the target behavior on their own, we allow them to invoke several copies of the current agent X to help them. We write AmplifyH(X) for the composite system, consisting of H and several copies of X working together to solve a problem. The agent X then learns from AmplifyH(X) in the same way that it would traditionally learn from H alone.
To instantiate this framework we make three design decisions:
- What set of tasks do we train X to solve? In order for X to be a useful assistant, we need to choose a sufficiently broad set of tasks. In this article, we will focus on question-answering.
- How do we construct AmplifyH(X)? In this article, we focus on delegation: AmplifyH(X) answers a question Q by having H identify a sequence of useful subquestions, using X to compute a subanswer to each subquestion, and having H decide how to answer Q after seeing the subanswers.
- How does X learn from AmplifyH(X)? In this article, we focus on supervised learning: X is an autoregressive model trained to predict AmplifyH(X)’s output. Future work could instead use imitation learning, or use AmplifyH(X) to define a reward function that X maximizes with RL.
Initially X behaves randomly, so AmplifyH(X) is essentially equivalent to H and we are effectively learning from an expert. Over time the agent X becomes more powerful and the role of the expert transitions into “coordinating” several copies of X to solve the problem better than a single copy could solve it. (Once X is very sophisticated, even tasks like “identify a useful subquestion” might be delegated.) As long as it is possible for multiple agents to collaboratively solve problems more effectively than a single agent (perhaps using human expertise to coordinate their efforts), then AmplifyH(X) can outperform X and hence provide a useful training signal. We discuss this assumption in Section 5.
The human must be involved in this process because there is no external objective to guide learning— the objective is implicit in the way that the human coordinates the copies of X. For example, we have no external measure of what constitutes a “good” answer to a question, this notion is only implicit in how a human decides to combine the answers to subquestions (which usually involves both facts and value judgments). Our goal is for X to learn the goal at the same time that it learns to behave competently. This is in contrast with the alternative approach of specifying a reward function and then training a capable agent to maximize that reward function.
1.2 Outline
In Section 2 we describe Iterated Amplification and our implementation in more detail. In Section 3 we compare our approach to prior work. In Section 4 we describe our experimental results, showing that Iterated Amplification can be stable and efficient despite the non-stationary training signal and lack of external objective. In Section 5 we explain why we believe that decomposability is a realistic assumption for complex tasks in the real world.
2 Detailed instantiation of Iterated Amplification
2.1 Predicting the human behavior
In order to reduce the burden on the human expert H, we train a “human predictor” Ht, and use this predictor to generate training data rather than consulting H directly. That is, we train Ht to imitate the role of H when computing AmplifyH(X), and we train X using than using AmplifyH(X) directly.
Because Ht is only learning how to identify subquestions and combine subanswers, rather than solving an entire task, we expect to train it with much less data.
Note that Ht needs to predict how H will respond to subanswers provided by X. Because X is changing, this distribution is non-stationary, and so we need to continuously update Ht throughout the training process.
2.2 Training overview
We train an agent X to answer questions from some distribution D.
Our training process, depicted in Fig. 1, involves running four processes in parallel:
- We repeatedly sample a question Q , use AmplifyH(X) to answer that question, and record every decision made by H during the process. That is, H finds a subquestion Q1 that would help them answer Q, and we compute the answer A1 = X(Q1). We repeat this process k times, where k is a fixed parameter, and then H computes an answer A. We store the transcript τ = (Q, Q1, A1, . . . , Qk, Ak, A). collect dataset of
Figure 1: Schematic of our Iterated Amplification implementation.
- We train a model H0 to predict the decisions made by H in each of these transcripts, i.e. to
predict subquestions Qi and final answers A. - We repeatedly sample a question Q ∼ D, use AmplifyH 0 (X) to answer that question, and record the resulting (Q, A) pairs.
- X is trained by supervised learning on these (Q, A) pairs.
2.3 Dynamics of training
The behavior of the agent X develops over the course of training:
- Initially X answers questions randomly.When the human asks subquestions they frequently receive incoherent or useless subanswers,
- The human is able to answer some questions without any help from X, and eventually X learns to copy these simple answers.
- Once X is able to provide simple answers, the human is able to provide slightly better answers by breaking them into simple pieces. Then X learns to provide slightly better answers.
- This process continues, with X gradually expanding the set of queries it can answer and gradually improving the answers it provides. At each point in training, AmplifyH(X) is modestly smarter than X working on its own, and X chases this moving target.
If all goes well, at the end of this process we’re left with an agent that “approximates” the behavior of an exponentially large team of copies of H. The hierarchical decomposition itself is discarded as an artifact of training, and the actual procedure learned by the agent will generally not mirror the structure used in training.
2.4 Questions with context
In practice, questions often take the form of a very large context (e.g. a hundred-page design document) and a relatively small context-conditional question (e.g. “what are the largest risks when implementing this design?”). In particular, this is the case in the experiments reported in Section 4.
Answering a question requires understanding the entire context, but it may be possible to decompose a question without looking at the entire context. This allows us to apply Iterated Amplification to tasks where the context is too large for a human expert to observe directly. Instead, we can give H the ability to look at small parts of the context as needed. Hopefully, H can decompose a question into pieces that depend on smaller and smaller parts of the context, until arriving at questions that depend on only isolated facts from the context.
Large contexts also facilitate an important trick for accelerating training. In many settings, almost all of the work of answering a question is actually about understanding the context, and it is possible to ask many different questions about a single context.
We divide X into two phases, a context-encoding phase and a question-answering phase. During training, rather than sampling a single question we sample a context together with multiple questions about that context. We reuse the work of the context-encoding phase across all of these questions. Similarly, when computing AmplifyH(X), we reuse the context-encoding work between all of the subquestions that X needs to answer. In our experiments, this speeds up training by an order of magnitude.
2.5 Model architecture
We implement X as an encoder-decoder architecture with self-attention, closely following the Transformer architecture (Vaswani et al., 2017):
- We represent the context as a set of facts, each of which is a sequence of tokens.
- We embed each token using a look-up table. We embed facts by concatenating the token embeddings and applying a linear projection.
- We apply the Transformer encoder to the embedded facts. Our only change to the architecture from (Vaswani et al.,2017) is inserting batchnorm after each MLP.
- We embed questions in the same way we embed facts, then apply the Transformer decoder to a batch of questions (omitting the self-attention altogether because it would correspond to interactions amongst questions, which ought to be independent).
- An autoregressive MLP generates a sequence of symbols conditioned on the result of the Transformer decoder. It generates symbols either by outputting a set of logits or by choosing to copy a symbol from the context (as in pointer networks (Vinyals et al.,2015)).
The human-predictor Ht is also a Transformer decoder augmented with the ability to copy symbols from previous steps. Ht operates on sequences of questions and answers—like H, it never observes the entire context.
Details of our model architecture are described in Appendix D.
3 Related Work
Expert Iteration: our method is very similar to Expert Iteration (ExIt) (Anthony et al., 2017) and AlphaZero (Silver et al., 2017b,a) and has recently achieved strong performance in the board games Hex, Go, Chess, and Shogi. ExIt is itself closely analogous to the Bellman update in Q learning, and all of these can be viewed as analogs of dynamic programming where neural networks replace lookup tables.
The key difference between our work and ExIt is the lack of an external objective. In ExIt, the expert is produced by a search algorithm that optimizes an external objective. Our contribution is to show that that a similar training process can be used even when the task definition is only implicit in the decomposition and recomposition strategy.
Inverse reinforcement learning: by observing human behavior and inferring the underlying reward function that they are optimizing,(Ng et al., 2000; Hadfield-Menell et al., 2016) inverse reinforcement learning could also potentially learn reward functions for tasks that are too challenging for humans. Handling such tasks requires a sufficiently accurate model of human cognition to predict what humans “would” prefer if we relaxed their cognitive limitations; in addition to being extremely complex, such a model is not identifiable, because we never observe the ground truth about human preferences. Iterated Amplification is an alternative strategy that does not require solving this challenging model specification problem.
Debate: training AI systems to debate each other (Irving et al., 2018) is another possible approach to training question-answering systems where a human expert cannot evaluate answers directly. Both debate and Iterated Amplification involve a recursive structure where AI systems help humans address relevant subquestions. The largest conceptual difference is that in Iterated Amplification each subquestion is answered by an independent copy of X trained by AmplifyH(X), while in a debate the subquestions are answered by one of the debaters (who are trained to defend a particular answer to the top-level question).
Algorithm learning: our problem differs from traditional work on learning algorithms (Graves et al., 2016; Kaiser and Sutskever, 2015; Neelakantan et al., 2015) because we don’t assume that we have access to ground truth labels.
Recursive model architectures: our work differs from recursive model architectures (Cai et al., 2017; Nowak and Bruna, 2016), in that the learned model doesn’t have a recursive structure. The recursive decomposition is used only to generate training data, and even then only a single step of decomposition is performed in each iteration.
So the trained agent might end up solving the task in a totally different way from the decomposition used by the human, and in particular it may learn heuristics that treat the problem holistically.
This flexibility is important to the applicability of our method. It is often possible to divide a task into easier parts, but dividing interesting problems into pieces and solving them independently can be much less efficient than considering the problem holistically.
4 Experiments
4.1 Tasks
We study Iterated Amplification in a set of 5 toy algorithmic tasks. For each task, the agent X is given a large combinatorial context and asked questions about that context:
- Given a permutation σ : {1, . . . , 64} → {1, . . . , 64}, compute σk(x) for k up to 64.
- Given a function f : {1, . . . , 8} → {1, . . . , 8} and a sequence of 64 assignments of the form x := 3 or x := f (y, z), evaluate a particular variable.
- Given a function f : {0, 1} → {−1, 0, 1}, answer questions of the form “What is the sum of f (x) over all x matching the wildcard expression 0 ∗ ∗ 1 ∗ ∗?”
- Given a directed graph with 64 vertices and 128 edges, find the distance from s to t.
- Given a rooted forest on 64 vertices, find the root of the tree containing a vertex x.
More detailed descriptions of the tasks are available in Appendix C. We train each task using a curriculum of smaller instances, which is unrelated to our use of Iterated Amplification (supervised learning also needs a curriculum to learn these tasks in a reasonable amount of time even given ground truth labels).
Rather than having a human perform the decomposition, we provide a hard-coded algorithm H which decomposes each task (though we minimize the number of times we call this algorithm). Using these decompositions directly as a recursive algorithm is not efficient for any of the tasks.
4.2 Results
In order to evaluate Iterated Amplification, we compare it to supervised learning from the ground truth data. The results are presented in Fig. 2. Iterated Amplification is able to solve these tasks effectively with at worst a modest slowdown, achieving our main goal.
The purpose of amplification is to handle tasks where an expert can perform decomposition but can’t solve the task directly. We don’t expect amplification to solve those tasks as quickly as supervised learning. Because we can learn these tasks almost as quickly as supervised learning from the ground truth, we have achieved our main goal.
In addition to requiring modestly more training steps, training with amplification requires about twice as much computation per question, because we need to actually generate the training targets by
running AmplifyH(X)3. We trained in the same wall-clock time by generating data on a parallel
Supervised learning required tens of millions of examples in order to learn these algorithms. This would be a prohibitive cost if the examples were provided by an external expert. In contrast, Iterated Amplification required tens of thousands of examples in order to learn the much simpler decompositions (numbers for each task are in Table 2 in Appendix A). The sample complexity will be much larger for realistic tasks, where modeling H might require (for example) a high-quality language model. But the general phenomenon, that learning decompositions can be much cheaper than learning complex behaviors directly, is likely to hold for realistic tasks, since performing decomposition is strictly easier than solving the task without the aid of X.
4.3 Simplifications
These experiments make several important simplifications:
- In our experiments questions can be algorithmically decomposed into subquestions, and we replace the human with a hand-coded algorithm. These experiments don’t shed any light on whether humans can decompose interesting real world tasks, nor on whether it would be feasible to learn messy real world decompositions.
- We work in combinatorial domains where it it is possible to construct an algorithmic training signal. This makes it possible for us to cheaply run experiments and easily evaluate our performance, but in the long run we care about tasks where it is not possible to construct an algorithmic or even human training signal.
- In our experiments X is trained by supervised learning from AmplifyH(X). In many important applications we suspect that we would learn a reward function from AmplifyH(X) and then train X to maximize that reward function.
- In order for Iterated Amplification to succeed, the question distribution needs to be broad enough to cover not only the questions we care about, but also all of the subquestions asked during the computation of AmplifyH(X). The distribution also determines how the model will allocate its capacity, and so must be carefully chosen. In our experiments, we started with a distribution D that could be used directly. In a more realistic setting, we might start with some distribution D0 of questions that have intrinsic interest, and it would be the system designer’s responsibility to construct D appropriately.
Removing these simplifications is a task for future work, which will ultimately test the hypothesis that Iterated Amplification can be usefully applied to complex real-world tasks for which no other training strategy is available.
5 Discussion of decomposition in realistic domains
Having successfully applied Iterated Amplification to synthetic algorithmic problems, the natural question is whether it can actually be applied to complex real-world tasks that are “beyond human scale.” We leave a convincing demonstration to future work, but we discuss here why we think this is likely.
The key assumption underlying Iterated Amplification is that a human can coordinate multiple copies of X to perform better than a single copy of X.
As an example, consider the problem of evaluating a proposed design for a transit system. Rather than forcing a single copy of X to reach a snap judgment about a proposed design, we can have copies of X evaluate many different considerations (estimating costs, evaluating how well the system serves different populations, and so on). A human can then decide how to aggregate those different considerations (potentially with help from further copies of X). We flesh out this example in more detail in Appendix B.
The problem of coordinating several copies of X to outperform a single copy of X is analogous to organizing a team of humans to outperform individual humans. Fortunately, there are several ways in which coordinating several copies of X is easier than coordinating a team of humans:
- We don’t require that the collaboration be efficient, it just needs to help at all. If ten agents working together perform “10% better” than a single agent on its own, then AmplifyH(X) still provides a useful training signal that we can use to improve X.
- The copies of X don’t need to run in parallel—each can start after the previous one has finished its task. Many tasks may be inherently difficult to parallelize, which is an obstacle for human collaboration but is fine for AmplifyH(X).
- All of the copies of X are trained exclusively to solve the problem they are given. We don’t need to manage incentives, politics, or conflicting preferences, which are common difficulties in human organizations.
Despite these difficulties, human organizations are often able to significantly outperform individual humans in many domains, supporting our key assumption.
6 Conclusion
We have shown that Iterated Amplification can successfully solve algorithmically complex tasks where there is no external reward function and the objective is implicit in a learned decomposition. This offers hope for applying ML in domains where we cannot compute a suitable objective, even with human help—as long as humans are able to decompose a task into simpler pieces. If we can realize this hope, it will be an important step towards expanding the reach of ML and addressing concerns about the long-term impacts of AI by reducing our reliance simple but inaccurate proxies for complex implicit objectives.
References
Pieter Abbeel and Andrew Y Ng. Apprenticeship learning via inverse reinforcement learning. In
Proceedings of the twenty-first international conference on Machine learning, page 1. ACM, 2004. Dario Amodei and Jack Clark. Faulty reward functions in the wild, 2016.
Dario Amodei, Chris Olah, Jacob Steinhardt, Paul Christiano, John Schulman, and Dan Mané. Concrete problems in AI safety. arXiv preprint arXiv:1606.06565, 2016.
Thomas Anthony, Zheng Tian, and David Barber. Thinking fast and slow with deep learning and tree search. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pages 5366–5376, 2017.
Nick Bostrom. Superintelligence: Paths, Dangers, Strategies. Oxford University Press, 2014.
Jonathon Cai, Richard Shin, and Dawn Song. Making neural programming architectures generalize via recursion. CoRR, abs/1704.06611, 2017. URL http://arxiv.org/abs/1704.06611.
Paul F Christiano, Jan Leike, Tom Brown, Miljan Martic, Shane Legg, and Dario Amodei. Deep reinforcement learning from human preferences. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pages 4302–4310, 2017.
Chelsea Finn, Sergey Levine, and Pieter Abbeel. Guided cost learning: Deep inverse optimal control via policy optimization. In International Conference on Machine Learning, volume 48, 2016.
Alex Graves, Greg Wayne, Malcolm Reynolds, Tim Harley, Ivo Danihelka, Agnieszka Grabska- Barwin´ska, Sergio Gómez Colmenarejo, Edward Grefenstette, Tiago Ramalho, John Agapiou, et al. Hybrid computing using a neural network with dynamic external memory. Nature, 538(7626):471, 2016.
Dylan Hadfield-Menell, Stuart J Russell, Pieter Abbeel, and Anca Dragan. Cooperative inverse reinforcement learning. In Advances in neural information processing systems, pages 3909–3917, 2016.
Geoffrey Irving, Paul Christiano, and Dario Amodei. AI safety via debate. arXiv preprint arXiv:1805.00899, 2018.
Łukasz Kaiser and Ilya Sutskever. Neural GPUs learn algorithms. arXiv preprint arXiv:1511.08228, 2015.
W Bradley Knox and Peter Stone. Interactively shaping agents via human reinforcement: The TAMER framework. In International Conference on Knowledge Capture, pages 9–16, 2009.
Joel Lehman, Jeff Clune, Dusan Misevic, Christoph Adami, Julie Beaulieu, Peter J Bentley, Samuel Bernard, Guillaume Belson, David M Bryson, Nick Cheney, et al. The surprising creativity of digital evolution: A collection of anecdotes from the evolutionary computation and artificial life research communities. arXiv preprint arXiv:1803.03453, 2018.
James MacGlashan, Mark K Ho, Robert Loftin, Bei Peng, David Roberts, Matthew E Taylor, and Michael L Littman. Interactive learning from policy-dependent human feedback. arXiv preprint arXiv:1701.06049, 2017.
Arvind Neelakantan, Quoc V Le, and Ilya Sutskever. Neural programmer: Inducing latent programs with gradient descent. arXiv preprint arXiv:1511.04834, 2015.
Andrew Y Ng and Stuart Russell. Algorithms for inverse reinforcement learning. In International Conference on Machine learning, pages 663–670, 2000.
Andrew Y Ng, Stuart J Russell, et al. Algorithms for inverse reinforcement learning. In Icml, pages 663–670, 2000.
Alex Nowak and Joan Bruna. Divide and conquer with neural networks. CoRR, abs/1611.02401, 2016. URL http://arxiv.org/abs/1611.02401.
Patrick M Pilarski, Michael R Dawson, Thomas Degris, Farbod Fahimi, Jason P Carey, and Richard Sutton. Online human training of a myoelectric prosthesis controller via actor-critic reinforcement learning. In International Conference on Rehabilitation Robotics, pages 1–7, 2011.
D. Silver, et al …, and D. Hassabis. Mastering chess and shogi by self-play with a general reinforce- ment learning algorithm. arXiv, December 2017a.
David Silver, Julian Schrittwieser, Karen Simonyan, Ioannis Antonoglou, Aja Huang, Arthur Guez, Thomas Hubert, Lucas Baker, Matthew Lai, Adrian Bolton, et al. Mastering the game of go without human knowledge. Nature, 550(7676):354, 2017b.
Ashish Vaswani, Noam Shazeer, Niki Parmar, Jakob Uszkoreit, Llion Jones, Aidan N Gomez, Łukasz Kaiser, and Illia Polosukhin. Attention is all you need. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pages 6000–6010, 2017.
Oriol Vinyals, Meire Fortunato, and Navdeep Jaitly. Pointer networks. In Advances in Neural Information Processing Systems, pages 2692–2700, 2015.
Table 2: Total number of queries to the decomposition oracle H for each task. These experiments involve algorithmic tasks where these decompositions are straightforward; the sample complexity will likely be much larger for more realistic tasks.
Task | Permutation powering | Expression evaluation | Union find | Shortest path | Wildcard search |
Oracle calls | 7,000 | 6,000 | 20,000 | 24,000 | 10,000 |
A Training dynamics
Table 2 shows how many queries were collected over the course of training for each of our tasks.
Figure 3 illustrates how X “chases” the moving target AmplifyH(X) over the course of training, separating out performance for separate recursion depths d.
X always has lower accuracy than AmplifyH (X), because it is being trained to imitate it. Amplify (X) for tasks at depth d + 1 has slightly lower accuracy than X does for tasks at depth d, because AmplifyH (X) answering a question correctly at depth d + 1 requires X to answer several questions correctly at depth d.
The sawtooth pattern and decreases in accuracy are an artifact of the curriculum. In contrast with Fig. 2, Fig. 3 shows the performance on the maximum difficulty of tasks yet encountered by the model. Each time the difficulty of the task is increased, the accuracy of the model drops.
B Example decomposition
Consider the task of comparing two designs for a public transit system. We could train an AI to imitate human judgments, but human judgments may be very far from optimal. Or we could try to collect enough information about the long-term health of transit systems to train an AI to predict long-term outcomes, but we can only collect new datapoints with a ten-year delay. This is the kind of task which we might want to solve with Iterated Amplification.
Many subquestions could help the human reach a conclusion about which design is better:
- Compare the usefulness of the two designs.
- Compare the total cost of the two designs.
- Search for any risks or possible problems with each design so that they can be evaluated more carefully.
Combining the answers to these subquestions requires making value judgments, for example about how we should quantify and compare benefits, what kinds of risks we are willing to accept, and so on. Our hope is for X to learn about these value judgments at the same time that it learns to make sophisticated decisions. Eventually, X can also help with the task of aggregating different considerations.
Each of these subquestion can itself be further divided, facilitating the use of Iterated Amplification:
- Comapre the usefulness of the two designs.
- Identify and evaluate particular needs that each design may serve well or poorly.
- Identify particular routes or groups of users who may be served well or poorly.
- For each, identify the most important considerations (predictability, reliability, routes served, cost) and assess how well each design meets those.
- Forecast capacity of the system and likely usage.
- Evaluate current transit usage, correct for measurement issues, extrapolate trends.
- Evaluate capacity of the proposals across key routes and bottlenecks.
- Estimate general performance characteristics.
- Estimate how often the system will be unavailable and how common delays will be.
- Compare average speeds and waiting times.
- Compare plausible last-mile transit costs associated with each proposal.
- Identify and evaluate particular needs that each design may serve well or poorly.
- Compare the total cost of the two designs.
- Estimate the non-financial costs of the project
- Identify the most important effects on the landscape and space use within the city.
- Estimate the costs of disruption associated with construction and maintenance.
- Identify social consequences of the transit system.
- Compare the likely construction costs of the two designs.
- Identify comparable projects and estimate their costs.
- Figure out how this project differs and how it’s cost is likely to differ.
- Compare the maintenance costs over time.
- Identify categories of maintenance cost and estimate each of them separately.
- Search for comparable projects.
- Decide how to trade off immediate costs vs distant costs.
- Estimate interest rates on debt and the feasibility of borrowing to fund such a project.
- Estimate the rates of return on other uses of funds.
- Evaluate our intrinsic time preferences.
- Estimate the non-financial costs of the project
- · · ·
We emphasize that this need not be an efficient decomposition in order to be suitable for Iterated Amplification—answers to the subquestion just need to help at all on the original task. As long as that’s true, we can use a final copy of X to answer the question in light of these subanswers. This will outperform a copy of X who didn’t get to see the subanswers, and can hence provide a useful training signal for X to improve.
If we had an external ground truth measure of quality then we wouldn’t need a human to propose this kind of decomposition and we could instead allow an AI to search for whatever predictor worked best. However, if we don’t have access to an external ground truth, we can use this kind of decomposition to define the task.
C Task descriptions
An overview of our five tasks is given in Table 3. A task describes a context, a family of questions, a decomposition strategy, and a set of primitive questions. The primitive questions are the mechanism by which AmplifyH(X) is able to learn about the context. When H asks a primitive question, it immediately receives the correct answer rather than being answered by X.
C.1 Representations
All tasks other than wildcard search involve a domain with size N . For each of these tasks, we introduce 8 special identifiers a, b, c, d, e, f, g, h , and represent elements from the domain as a pair of identifiers.
For sequential assignments, union finding, wildcard search, and shortest path, we represent each integer with a separate symbol. In the case of wildcard search this results in a very large vocabulary, most of which is used extremely rarely and simply ignored by the model. For permutation powering, we represent the exponent k in binary.
In each domain, we can unambiguously represent facts as a sequence of elements from the domain. We represent function values f (x) = y as the pair xy, x = f (y, z) as the triple xyz, edges (x, y) as the pair xy, and so on. Recall that elements from the domain are themselves represented as pairs, which we simply concatenate. For wildcard search, we simply omit zero values.
For union find and shortest path, we preface each question with a unique symbol to disambiguate it.
We extend the vocabulary of each task with a special symbol “?” that is returned by H whenever the recursive calls produce inconsistent or inconclusive results.
C.2 Curriculum
Each task has a size parameter N that ranges from 8 to 64. We begin training with the difficulty 8. Whenever X achieves an accuracy of at least 85% at predicting the (Q, A) pairs in its dataset,4 we increment the difficulty.
At each point in training, we sample the task size N to be equal to the difficulty with probability 0.5, and to otherwise be sampled from a power law between 8 and N .
Figure 2 shows the performance on a held out test set, which has 1/3 of its examples at size 64, 1/3 at size 8, and 1/3 distributed uniformly between the two. This distribution is chosen to give a useful representation of progress throughout the learning process. The graphs look essentially the same (and would reach similar maximum accuracies) if we evaluate performance on the most difficult tasks encountered so far, except that it would no longer be meaningful to directly compare different training runs that are at different difficulties (and the curriculum introduces a sawtooth artifact as in Fig. 3).
C.3 Detailed decompositions
The decompositions for union find and shortest path are somewhat more complex than the others. We provide the full decomposition for shortest path here. The decomposition for union find involves similar ideas.
• What is the distance from x to y?
Table 3: The tasks on which we trained our algorithm. All tasks are paremeterized by a difficulty N that is increased from 8 to 64 over the course of training. The decompositions marked with * are significant simplifications of the full decompositions, which are described in Appendix C.3.
C.4 Task distributions
For the permutation powering, union find, shortest path, and wildcard search tasks, the context is chosen uniformly at random from va√lid contexts. For sequential assignments, we sort the variables randomly, assign each of the first N variables to one of {1, . . . , 8} at random, and let each subsequent variable be f (y, z) for a random pair y, z of preceding variables.
For sequential assignments, shortest path, and union find, we choose questions at random. For wildcard search, we randomly select the number of wildcards from 1, 2, . . . , 6 , then we randomly generate a query with that many wildcards. For permutation powering, we randomly choose one bit from {2, . . . , 6} to be the leading bit of k. We set that bit to be 1 and set the other bits uniformly at random. We selected these distributions D to ensure that every subquestion of a question draw from D is also given reasonable probability under D.
D Model details and hyperparameters
When computing AmplifyH (X), we use a Polyak averaging over a time horizon of 1000 batches,
rather than directly applying the current version of X. This is analogous to the use of a target network in Q-learning. Early experiments suggested Polyak averaging improved the stability of training, and it does not materially slow down learning.
Our model closely follows the Transformer architecture (Vaswani et al., 2017), optimized with Adam. We describe the model for completeness, along with our choice of hyperparameters.
All of our inputs are sets of 8 to 128 sentences, each of which is a sequence of 2 to 8 tokens from a vocabulary of size 10 to 30. For example, we represent a graph as a list of pairs of vertices, and we represent each vertex as a pair of tokens from a fixed vocabulary of size 8.
We process each sequence by embedding each token in a space of dimension dembed = 100, concatenating the embeddings, and then applying a learned linear transformation into a space of dimension dmodel = 512. Note that there is no position encoding, because we process unordered sets of facts.
We then process a set of sentences by applying a sequence of N identical layers. Each layer implements the transformation x → z:
y ← LayerNorm x + Attention x
z ← LayerNorm y + BatchNorm MLP y
where Attention is multi-headed attention with 8 heads of size dmodel/8, MLP is a two-layer perceptron with hidden unit size 4dmodel and ReLU activation, LayerNorm is defined as usual, and BatchNorm normalizes across both the batch and the different sentences.
We embed contexts using N = 6 layers with self-attention. Once we have processed a context, we answer a batch of questions about that context by using N = 3 layers which attend over the context embedding. This is almost identical to the Transformer encoder/decoder, except that a Transformer decoder would also use self-attention (which is not appropriate here since different questions are unrelated to one another).
This architecture outputs a single dmodel dimensional vector for each answer. To decode this into a sequence of tokens, we train an autoregressive model that takes as input the answer vector and the sequence of tokens produced so far, and outputs the next token. The output is allowed to either specify a token directly or to specify an input token to copy, as in pointer networks (Vinyals et al., 2015). If the model chooses to copy an input symbol, it outputs an attention mask to select a sentence and a set of logits that are used to select which index it wants to copy from that sentence.
Where possible we directly copied architecture choices from (Vaswani et al., 2017) because our goal was to focus on the training process rather than architectural innovation. We added batchnorm because it significantly improved performance during preliminary supervised experiments.
Each of our training runs involve between 100, 000 and 200, 000 batches. Each batch contains 50 contexts. The number of facts describing a context varies from task to task, and varies over the course of training as the task difficulty increases. The number of questions per context was the same as the number of facts. By the end of training, this quantity was either 64 or 128 depending on the task.
The model was optimized with Adam, with learning rate 10−5, β2 = 0.98, and gradient clipping. These parameters were chosen based on early supervised experiments.